Brittany Howard has led Alabama Shakes to multiple Grammy nominations this year, including album of the year, best rock performance, best rock song and best alternative music album.
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Brittany Howard has led Alabama Shakes to multiple Grammy nominations this year, including album of the year, best rock performance, best rock song and best alternative music album.

Talented field makes it tough to make Grammy picks

By Mesfin Fekadu and Nekessa Mumbi Moody
The Associated Press

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NEW YORK – Kendrick Lamar has a chance to become the first rapper to win album of the year since Outkast took the prize in 2004 for “Speakerboxxx/The Love Below.”

He also could be the first rapper OF ALL TIME – said in Kanye voice – to win song of the year.

But if you know the members of The Recording Academy, you know they often shade rappers when it comes to the top four categories, which include record of the year and best new artist.

Lamar leads with 11 nominations, and he’ll likely sweep the rap categories, but we’re predicting he won’t go home with the night’s biggest honors – especially with competition from his pal Taylor Swift, Ed Sheeran, Alabama Shakes and the Weeknd.

Here’s how Associated Press music writers Mesfin Fekadu and Nekesa Mumbi Moody think Monday night will pan out in select categories when the Grammys air live on CBS at 8 p.m. from the Staples Center in Los Angeles.

Album of the Year

Nominees: “Sound & Color,” Alabama Shakes; “To Pimp a Butterfly,” Kendrick Lamar; “Traveller,” Chris Stapleton; “1989,” Taylor Swift; “Beauty Behind the Madness,” The Weeknd.

Fekadu: As a proud citizen of the land that belongs to King Kendrick, I believe he deserves to win – but that won’t happen. While Stapleton and Weeknd’s albums were impressive, they are not his problem here. Lamar and Swift will split some of the popular votes, which means Alabama Shakes could snag enough to win, and they will come close, but won’t beat “1989.” That album not only marked a transition – one of the most successful of all time – for Swift, but it sold tremendously well, launched seven hit singles and a massive, star-studded world tour – all while Swift took down Apple for not paying musicians and stood her ground against Spotify. Those musicians who aren’t paid, along with indie artists, will be throwing their support to her for album of the year. Tay Tay for the win.

Moody: You would think with all those accomplishments, plus taking half the industry on tour with her, Taylor would be a lock. But even though her album is amazing and she was basically deified for battling streaming services, I think there are still folks who might feel – once again – it’s too soon to crown her with the honor when she won it in 2010. Plus, voters love to pick an act left of mainstream as often as possible – as long as it’s not rap (sorry Kendrick). That makes the battle between Stapleton and Alabama Shakes – and while both are Southern-based acts with electrifying stage shows, the Brittany Howard-fronted Alabama Shakes will win voters over.

Record of the Year

Nominees: “Really Love,” D’Angelo and the Vanguard; “Uptown Funk,” Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars; “Thinking Out Loud,” Ed Sheeran; “Blank Space,” Taylor Swift; “Can’t Feel My Face,” The Weeknd.

Moody: D’Angelo made a brilliant comeback album with “Black Messiah,” but let’s be honest: Virtually no one but die-hard fans and music critics know this song, which wasn’t even the album’s strongest. Can’t imagine it winning here. That leaves the hits that actually defined the year: While “Uptown Funk” deserves this badly, Grammy voters adore male singer-songwriters in the tradition of James Taylor and more recently, John Mayer, and Ed Sheeran has taken that mantle. “Thinking Out Loud” wins here.

Fekadu: You are right Nekesa – Sheeran will win here. But, for the sake of disagreeing, I am going to go with “Uptown Funk” just because I can’t stop reliving that Super Bowl halftime moment in my head. Bruno is epic.

Song of the Year

Nominees (songwriters): “Alright,” Kendrick Lamar, Pharrell Williams, Kawan Prather and Mark Anthony Spears; “Blank Space,” Taylor Swift, Max Martin and Shellback; “Girl Crush,” Liz Rose, Hillary Lindsey and Lori McKenna; “See You Again,” Charlie Puth, Wiz Khalifa, Andrew Cedar and Justin Franks; “Thinking Out Loud,” Ed Sheeran and Amy Wadge.

Fekadu: Everyone has an undeniable crush on “Girl Crush” – including the Grammys. Sorry, King Kendrick.

Moody: Have to agree here – “Girl Crush” represents a master class when it comes to songwriting. This is the song that your grandkids will be singing one day.

Best New Artist

Nominees: Courtney Barnett; James Bay; Sam Hunt; Tori Kelly; Meghan Trainor.

Moody: Courtney Barnett is the Esperanza Spalding of this category: a singer-songwriter musician who’s eclectic, indie, and a critic’s darling. She even runs her own label. Though she’s not well known, she’s edgy, and Grammy voters are desperate to be among the cool kids. That’s why she’ll take home the trophy, like Spalding did a few years ago.

Fekadu: Part of the problem is that most of the nominees here seem too new to win. That leaves us with Trainor and Hunt (though British critical darling Bay has a strong chance). But Hunt, who successfully has blended country music with R&B, pop and electronica, along with writing hit songs for his fellow countrymen, has moved mountains in his debut year, and it’s clear he’s only going to rise higher – especially with a win here.

Best Pop Solo
 Performance

Nominees: “Heartbeat Song,” Kelly Clarkson; “Love Me Like You Do,” Ellie Goulding; “Thinking Out Loud,” Ed Sheeran; “Blank Space,” Taylor Swift; “Can’t Feel My Face,” The Weeknd.

Fekadu: Goulding is a talented singer, so it’s nice to see her get her first Grammy nomination. It’s hard to take Clarkson’s nomination seriously; love that girl, but this song is not worthy here. The Weeknd won’t win, which makes this the battle of the besties: Sheeran vs. Swift. Though “Blank Space” is a clever pop song, it’s hard to resist the emotion behind “Thinking Out Loud,” which will take the prize.

Moody: Ummm, it’s not the song that wins, Mesfin – it’s performance. So Kelly’s voice alone makes her a contender – though not a serious one. That’s through no fault of her own: The competition is fierce here, so fierce even a megastar like Swift is unlikely to win over Sheeran, whose poignant, sweet and tender “Thinking Out Loud” will come out on top.

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